Bettingjesus's Blog

How I BREAK down a Bowl Game and Win!

bettingjesus — Sat, 17 Dec 2011 13:43:50 +0000

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BETTINGJESUS 24-8 NUMBER ONE IN BOWLS LAST YEAR IN UNITS WON!

YOU DECIDE WHO PUTS IN THE HOURS OF RESEARCH AND DOMINATES IN DECEMBER-JANUARY FOOTBALL! 24-8 LAST YR IN BOWLS 12-4 IN LAST 16 SUPER BOWLS AND 13 STRAIGHT GREY CUP WINNERS! THEN INVEST YOUR MONEY WITH A REAL HANDICAPPER.

CONTACT ME TO GET ON THE FREE PLAY LIST OR GET ON THE BOWL LIST, BETTINGJESUS@GMAIL.COM .

THIS IS HOW I BREAK DOWN EACH GAME.

5 UNITS Iowa Hawkeyes +5.5 -110

The Line: I love betting on underdogs when the public team is laying less than a TD. Iowa has gotten no respect all year and they aren’t getting any respect here either.

Motivation: Even.

Fundamentals: Pretty basic here: The better defense is getting points. And unlike last night where the two defenses were probably even, this one is no contest. Iowa has the much better defense here, and if I can impress 1 thing upon you in sports betting it is to start looking at games, spreads and totals based on DEFENSE and not based on OFFENSE. Good defense always stops good offense. Last night, we had 2 of the best offenses in the country shut down by each other’s defense. Georgia Tech runs a 1-dimensional attack and although it seemed to get better this year in Paul Johnson’s 2nd year, this is still an attack where you know what is coming you just have to play disciplined on defense and don’t over-pursue. I don’t think there is a more disciplined team, a more intelligent team, than Kirk Ferentz’s Iowa Hawkeyes. They have terrific linebackers, they have a senior/junior-laden defense, they will not over pursue, they will play sound against this option attack. And if Jonathan Nesbitt has to throw in this game, this secondary is a bunch of ballhawks, top 5 in the country in forcing INTs.

Option attacks have traditionally not done well over the years in bowl games. The defenses usually have time to prepare, and focus 1 full month on option football, and that puts the surprise of the option attack at a disadvantage. This year, however, we have seen 2 option attacks cover and win (Navy and Air Force) because both were playing soft, finesse defenses that had soft finesse offenses. Here, you have an option attack facing a fundamentally sound, tough, physical team that prides itself on defense and playing good football without the razzle dazzle. Iowa is a disciplined team, something that TCU was NOT last night. Iowa is a top 5 team in least penalties per game, they have only 9 fumbles on the year, which is top 15, and they play solid special teams.

Every year there is always 1 or 2 teams in a BCS Game where the general betting public says that they don’t belong in the game because they didn’t win pretty. And every year, I have to correct these people and tell them that winning pretty does not matter. I’d rather find out about a team and how good they are and how they perform in big situations, in tough situations, where they are behind 2 scores, or behind 1 score, or tied going into the 4th quarter and all this Iowa team has done is find a way to win. That is not a flaw, that is an unusual characteristic to have. It starts with this senior and junior laden depth chart and the experience this team has. Iowa has a lot of starters on both sides of the ball that are seniors and juniors, and Georgia Tech has a lot of juniors and sophomores. There is going to be an experience advantage here and possible strength and size advantage for Iowa.

Iowa has lost 2 games this year, both without QB Ricky Stanzi, some without starting TB Adam Robinson, some without LB Jeremiah Hunter. Everyone is healthy for Iowa, and when this team has been healthy, they have not been beaten. Even when they weren’t healthy, they never lost by more than 7 points. Iowa is 4-0 as an underdog this year and it is a role that they LOVE.

Meanwhile, in Georgia Tech’s 7 games vs bowl teams, they have either lost outright or were not able to win by more than 5 points in 6 of those 7 games. In other words, only once this season in 7 tries against a bowl team did they win by more than 5 points.

Again, the Big Ten is built around running the football and teams from out of conference that plan on playing teams from the Big Ten, and they don’t come at them with a tough, athletic attack that includes throwing the football are going to struggle. Georgia Tech has not put up their average of 35 points per game vs. the good defenses they have faced: North Carolina (24), Virginia Tech (28), Miami (17), Clemson (30, and 39), Georgia (24) and even a fundamentally sound Wake Forest team (24 in regul). That is an average of about 26 points per game, down almost 10 points from their season average, when they face a top 50 defense. With Iowa they will face one of the top defenses they have seen all year, but Iowa is way more disciplined than North Carolina and Virginia Tech. So if Iowa holds Georgia Tech to what they average against decent defenses (26), and Iowa scores their season average (and Ga Tech gives up their season average), Iowa should score around 24 points in this game. You can see, regardless of Iowa wins or loses this game, that the points should come into play in this game, as the #1 component to covering point spreads is not having a great offense, it’s having a great defense.

Iowa is 10-3 ATS last 13 games vs. a team with winning record. Kirk Ferentz is 6-4 in bowl games, Paul Johnson 4-6. Ferentz is 3-1 in bowl games when his team comes in with at least 9 wins.

Wrong team favored.

Iowa 24
Georgia Tech 20

NCAAB

bettingjesus — Tue, 08 Nov 2011 01:55:51 +0000

ARIZONA -14

NCAAB

bettingjesus — Tue, 08 Nov 2011 00:47:30 +0000

EASTERN KENTUCKY +17

NCAAB will be just like hockey. Get on the list email bettingjesus@gmail.com if you want a real gambler and a consultant on your side every day grinding it out.

Good Luck tonight.

NHL

bettingjesus — Mon, 07 Nov 2011 22:52:52 +0000

BOSTON BRUINS MUST WIN IN REGULATION -130

NHL IS NOW 48-25 65.7%, EMAIL AT BETTINGJESUS@GMAIL.COM TO GET ALL OF MARCEL’S PLAYS

NHL SUNDAY

bettingjesus — Sun, 06 Nov 2011 20:52:40 +0000

FLORIDA PANTHERS -110

Have one other NHL play for tonight email at bettingjesus@gmail.com if you want it! NHL simply put is on fire.

47 -23 in NHL , NCAAB kicks off and the CFL playoffs

bettingjesus — Sun, 06 Nov 2011 15:39:51 +0000

Yesterday I told everyone to check the blog. I placed 5 NHL wagers on the blog so the world could see what we are doing in the NHL. On Saturday we went 5-0 in the NHL and now stand 47 -23.

The CFL playoffs start next week and the NCAAB tips off also.

Free play in the NFL today is the Bills – 2 1/2.

If you are a serious player above $100 I encourage you to get on my NHL and NCAAB list as soon as possible. Contact me at bettingjesus@gmail,com .

NHL

bettingjesus — Sat, 05 Nov 2011 21:42:58 +0000

1) 7 UNIT PITTSBURGH PENGUINS +105
2) 5 UNITS NY RANGERS -145
3) 5 UNITS MINNESOTA WILD -115
4) 5 UNITS BOSTON BRUINS -115
5) 4 UNITS CAPITALS / ISLANDERS OVER +105

NHL and no one does it better than our team!

bettingjesus — Thu, 03 Nov 2011 20:43:01 +0000

GET WITH A SERVICE THAT DOCUMENTS THEIR PLAYS AS SOON AS THEY GO OFF THE BOARD

We set out a plan early in the NHL. We started with small UNIT wagers. As the data set increased with our computer we added UNITS to our wagers.

Our NHL team is doing what they said this year going 37-19 66% and 8-2 80% on 5 UNIT plays all documented on twitter as the games go off the board, over the first month of the season. My twitter is bettingjesus1 to verify the records. We have a full slate of NHL games tonight with 10 games being played. Contact me before 6:30 PM tonight regarding details on how to get on the list for tonight, week, month or season

Our team is made up of a computer programmed in C Sharp and three of the sharpest NHL players in the world from Regina, Calgary and Montreal.

If you just want tonight’s plays they are $49, if you are a serious sports investor contact me at bettingjesus@gmail.com for a monthly or season package.

I am not a traditional service. I answer your emails. I am not some kind of network marketing company and you will never see us chase. Email me today and start winning in the NHL and beyond.

It’s a Global Market as a Professional Gambler think that way!

bettingjesus — Fri, 28 Oct 2011 20:31:34 +0000

A must read for sports bettors and people that want to win in the 21st Century

In Friedman’s brilliant book he breaks down globalization and the flattening of the planet with regard to technology. The same concepts that Friedman outlines in his book can and are being applied to sports wagering.

I am pleased to work with numerous serious bettors around the world in real time. I could use the term betting “Syndicate” but that would be misleading. What I have assembled is a team that specializes in computer technology in the NHL and NCAAB, and a group of very sharp players around the world for football whether it be for CFL, NCAAF or NFL, where computer models are not as accurate. You need real information i.e. injuries, practices habits , emotional status of the team etc, to make the sharp play ( a term that is highly over used ).

With the NHL just starting out we are doing what we said we would do and are off to a great start as I document my teams results everyday on Twitter. The CFL playoffs are almost here and I have not lost a Grey Cup ATS ever. NCAAF is now at the point where the data set and players are the easiest to pick. Our NCAAF bowl record speaks for itself over the last two years, unmatched. The bad news is that the NFL is to the point where you must be very selective and you may want to have a book that offers team totals etc., because that is where the value is vs. just betting against the spread.

The point of the blog is start thinking globally in wagering, do not ignore the NHL or CFL. Focus on limiting your plays in the NFL and look for a book that offers Team Totals etc. . Do not play parlays.

In the CFL we do have a large play this week. There is a full slate of NHL and NCAAF games on Saturday and some inflated lines in the NFL.

Email me with any questions bettingjesus@gmail.com , I am not a traditional service. I do not employ any sales people or secretaries you will be working with me and you will get world class customer support.

I had the pleasure to spend many days with Wimp Sanderson the legendary basketball coach at Alabama, he told me “It’s not about Plays it’s about Players” . Get the right Players on your team and think globally and you will win. Cantor gaming is thinking globally and they are shaking up sports betting in Las Vegas at the M Resort.

Exploit weak lines and valuable information

Get with a team that will deliver winners and post plays when they go off the board.

It's around the corner and we are ready now.

NHL is here and we have hit stride in NCAAF 6-1 last Saturday and 4-0 on PERFECT PLAYS

bettingjesus — Thu, 06 Oct 2011 21:23:16 +0000

AUTZEN STADIUM MAY NOT BE THE LARGEST, BUT IT SURE IS ONE OF THE LOUDEST STADIUMS! GET BETTINGJESUS 5 UNIT BEST BET FOR TONIGHT

Last week we hit stride big time in the NCAAF going 6-1 Saturday and we stayed perfect on our perfect plays this year 4-0 with the Wisconsin Badgers destroying the Nebraska Cornhuskers. We have a rare 5 UNIT play on the NCAAF game tonight and 2 NHL plays. You can get all 3 plays for $25. If you want the entire weekend including all plays we will be making in the NCAAF , NHL and NFL email bettingjesus@gmail.com the cost is $50 and if you do not profit you get a 100% refund.

The NHL kicks off tonight and we have 2 smaller plays. Joining us this year is a true legend from Montreal. Those that know Montreal and hockey are all familiar with Monsieur Marcel Brouchard a legend at the LA CAGE AUX SPORTS BAR and has owned NHL betting for years hitting at over 64% and never laying huge juice. He has two plays tonight.

I am not a traditional sport service, I work with each client. Email today and follow me on Twitter.